Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.107154 0.123962 0.142526 0.164547 0.189958 0.218367 0.252545
2025-12-07 0.078059 0.099899 0.126513 0.161328 0.205689 0.260357 0.332915
2025-12-14 0.062681 0.086073 0.116600 0.159354 0.217723 0.294701 0.404104
2025-12-21 0.053591 0.077943 0.111551 0.161314 0.233183 0.333350 0.483867
2025-12-28 0.048421 0.074016 0.111092 0.168698 0.256045 0.383740 0.585101
2026-01-04 0.043614 0.069707 0.109174 0.173199 0.274601 0.429314 0.684030
2026-01-11 0.039541 0.065823 0.107180 0.176964 0.291971 0.474420 0.786862
2026-01-18 0.035680 0.061679 0.104118 0.178390 0.305387 0.514262 0.885242
2026-01-25 0.031758 0.056875 0.099304 0.176143 0.312140 0.543506 0.968702
2026-02-01 0.027861 0.051589 0.092993 0.170436 0.312039 0.560751 1.032791
2026-02-08 0.025814 0.049333 0.091652 0.173261 0.327153 0.605726 1.150810
2026-02-15 0.023707 0.046696 0.089286 0.173850 0.338072 0.644020 1.260333
2026-02-22 0.022050 0.044756 0.088064 0.176588 0.353601 0.692956 1.396628
2026-03-01 0.019838 0.041464 0.083901 0.173136 0.356736 0.718682 1.490682
2026-03-08 0.018040 0.038784 0.080619 0.171017 0.362185 0.749300 1.597690
2026-03-15 0.016864 0.037255 0.079471 0.173121 0.376465 0.799010 1.749552
2026-03-22 0.016333 0.037038 0.081006 0.181043 0.403859 0.878532 1.973562
2026-03-29 0.015564 0.036204 0.081126 0.185873 0.425017 0.946926 2.180692
2026-04-05 0.014792 0.035268 0.080912 0.189912 0.444810 1.014294 2.392833
2026-04-12 0.013896 0.033939 0.079669 0.191442 0.459004 1.070577 2.585579
2026-04-19 0.012809 0.032026 0.076882 0.189031 0.463688 1.105614 2.732044
2026-04-26 0.011587 0.029645 0.072741 0.182908 0.458793 1.117776 2.824609
2026-05-03 0.011034 0.028867 0.072354 0.185939 0.476607 1.185718 3.062075